Thursday PM Forecast: Late night round of storms, exits in time for weekend
Unseasonably warm and muggy conditions have primed the atmosphere for another round of storms. Storms will slide through the area overnight, exiting in time for the weekend.
Tonight: As of Thursday afternoon, all storm activity remains to the west of the Capital Area. But should these venture east during the evening, a few could end up on the stronger side. Even if no full-fledged thunderstorms occur in the early evening, spotty showers are on the table. All of that would be followed by a line of storms later in the night. The late thunderstorms could roll into the Baton Rouge Metro as early as 10 p.m., but will more than likely move in during the 11 p.m. to 4 a.m. timeframe. Areas southeast of the Metro will likely deal with the activity after 2 a.m. before it exiting by 6 a.m..
Most are under a Level 1/5 "marginal" risk for severe weather, with areas west of Baton Rouge under a Level 2/5 "slight" risk. While many severe weather ingredients will be lacking, a storm or two might become strong. This would especially be the case to the west where storms arrive earlier. Gusty winds are the main concern, with a non-zero threat for a brief spin-up tornado. Most locations will pick up under a half inch of rain, although up to an inch is possible especially in areas north and west of Baton Rouge.
Tomorrow: Aside from a straggling shower around daybreak, conditions will quickly dry up on Friday as a cold front sweeps through the region. Expect partial clearing with a few few high clouds left over for the afternoon. The cold front will be weak in terms of air mass modification, so don't expect a significant cooldown. Look for a high on Friday in the mid-70s.
Up Next: The weather will cooperate for any outdoor plans over the weekend. Both Saturday and Sunday will feature sunny skies with highs in the 70s and lows in the 40s. Expect temperatures to return above average next week with highs nearing the 80° mark, if not surpassing it, just about every day. During that time, the Capital Area might find itself in a cycle of mostly cloudy skies with areas of fog followed by partly sunny afternoons with small opportunities for a stray shower.
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-- Meteorologist Malcolm Byron
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